Fognini won, but unfortunately not straight ahead and hence loss. New roof and we are going to US, ATP Newport. It is the quarterfinal between Johnson and Sela.
I think Sela has a fair value in this match. Looking at the winning game, he has around 3.45 times the money – and this against Johnson who has not impressed lately – and above all not on the grassy ground ..
Sela on the other hand comes from TWO really really good matches. First against Tomic with 2-1, and then against Karlovic with the same numbers. Note that both players are really good on the grass base – and therefore it feels like we have a good value on Sela here today.
Johnson certainly plays at home and stood for a good match in round 1. But as I also wrote above, Johnson has not been good lately and played very badly in all his grass tournaments. Possibly the Americans rise here and go a long way – but still feel like Sela can interfere with Johnson in the match, and possibly take a seat?As Sela has played, it definitely feels likely.
Prediction Today: +1.5 set Sela
Odds: 1.93
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