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Adrian Mannarino vs Damir Dzumhur Tennis Prediction

Top seed Adrian Mannarino dropped the first set and had to recover from a break deficit in the deciding set to outlast compatriot and former world #6 Gael Monfils in the semifinal, 4-6 7-6 6-4.
On Saturday, the Frenchman will fight for the ATP Antalya title for the second consecutive season. Making his Antalya debut as an unseeded player in 2017, he defeated the likes of Fernando Verdasco, Borna Coric, and Andreas Seppi before losing to Yuichi Sugita in the final.
“It’s going to be a really hard match tomorrow. My opponent [Dzumhur] is playing really well. A final is always a different match because there’s a lot of pressure. Both players are getting a little bit stressed, usually. I’m going to try to handle the situation as much as I can and I’ll try to play my best tennis.” – said Adrian Mannarino after securing his place in the final.
Adrian Mannarino, who has won 63 matches on grass so far in his career (63/40), will be playing only his second grass tour-level championship match on Saturday. This is also his best result of the season as his previous best was reaching the semifinal at ATP New York in February 2018.
Former world #22 Adrian Mannarino will be hoping to get fifth time lucky as he lost his previous four finals at this level, with two of them coming in 2017, against David Goffin in Tokyo and Yuichi Sugita in Antalya.
Damir Dzumhur defeated Jiri Vesely in straight sets (6-3 7-6) to move into the final of ATP Antalya on his debut appearance. Apart from losing the first set against Marius Copil in the opening round (R16), the Bosnian has looked comfortable all week.
Unlike Adrian Mannarino (63/40), Damir Dzumhur (7/8) hasn’t got a great record on grass as this is the first time he has managed to win more than two matches on grass in a season. His previous best result on this surface was reaching the second round of Wimbledon, in 2016 and 2017.
“It’s the first time I have played two tournaments on grass prior to Wimbledon. I have never given myself the chance to play well on grass. I did feel like I could play well, but I needed matches. I came here with some confidence and I feel my game is quite good for this surface. I played better and better from the second round on.” – Dzumhur after getting the better of Jiri Vesely in the semifinal.
The Bosnian #1 will be the confident player going into this contest having performed well in the title-deciding matches in the past. He has played three finals so far in his career and managed to win two of them, against Ricardas Berankis in Moscow 2017 and Fabio Fognini in St.Petersburg 2017.
Adrian Mannarino won their previous two meetings comfortably in straight sets, at Sarajevo challenger 2013 (IH) and Winston Salem 2014 (H). Mannarino is the better player on grass, and he deserves this title (excellent record in Antalya). That said, the Frenchman’s record in the finals (0/4) and his lack of ability to produce his best tennis in these situation gives a fair chance for Damir Dzumhur.

Tennis Prediction: Adrian Mannarino
Odds: 1.73